2009 NBA Mock Draft

First Edition

Football season is over, Cartel fans, and Billynho won't miss it one bit. I don't want to hear anymore overrated and overpaid running backs in the Land of the Whale's Vagina pine for preferential pampering, I don't want to see anymore gormless 80's video game characters profess pure innocence about texting their profane posse to pop a poor club patron, I'm tired of all these old quarterbacks, and I~ er, what'd you say? Football season... isn't over? B-b-b-but I checked all the channels yesterday and there was nothi~ oohhh, there's a week off before the Super Bowl now... right...

Football season is almost over, Cartel fans, so let's take a peek at the bottom of the NBA standings and top of the NCAA standings to see if we can't spot some potential future Casual Encounters:

1) Oklahoma City- Ricky Rubio. I'll admit, I've been all over his nuts since first seeing him play, and I'm standing by my belief that he's a sure thing future All Star and fan favorite. Anyone who saw Rubio play against the Redeem Team knows this is a no-brainer. He picked Chris Paul's pocket clean multiple times, is quick enough to get into the lane at will (despite what many analysts say), is the most creative passer in competitive basketball since Jason Williams' Sacramento days, and seemed to possess the same innate basketball vision that all the greats have. He's a point guard Larry Bird. Oklahoma City needs a center, but really this pick comes down to Rubio and Blake Griffin. Griffin would add toughness and rebounding, but with Kevin Durant sliding to the frontcourt and becoming more effective this season, Rubio and Russell Westbrook could form one of the NBA's top backcourts in the future and give the Thunder an unrivaled young troika to build around.

2) Washington- Blake Griffin. Griffin is an explosive, dominant rebounder who can post-up on the offensive end whenever he feels like it. His back-to-the-basket game lacks polish, but he'll still be able to score with his Lebron-esque athletiscism. He's a good ballhandler and passer for his size and would fit in perfectly on a Wizards team in need of toughness and a stronger post presence.

3) Sacramento- Jeff Teague. When I watched Jeff Teague two years ago when he played Eric Gordon in a high school game in Indianapolis, I didn't see much. Going in, his team had a gaudy record and Teague was averaging a nice stat line. Teague flashed quickness, but played passively and passed up open looks on the perimeter that suggested to me a poor jumper. I can't believe he's the same player when I watch him today. His wiry build, explosive leaping ability and quickness, and 90's fade haircut remind me of Anfernee Hardaway. He's averaging over 21 points, four rebounds, four assists, two steals, and shooting over 50% from beyond the arc. Sacramento is loaded with prospects at every position except point guard (where Beno Udrih is a sub-standard starter). Taking Teague could inject the same type of enthusiasm into the franchise that the aforementioned Williams brought 11 years ago.

4) Los Angeles Clippers- James Harden- The Clippers are a ship wreck. They're ridiculously thin with just six real NBA players (Baron Davis, Eric Gordon, Al Thornton, Chris Kaman, Zach Randolph, and Marcus Camby), and are in the position to take the best player available. In this case, they need someone who can contribute right away also. Harden is shooting 54% from the field, 40% from three point range, and averages 22 points, six rebounds and four assists. He could be a star in the NBA down the road and will be a top notch scorer off the bench next season.

5) Memphis- Jordan Hill. The Grizzlies have to look for a big man as they've already got a slew of candidates to play point, shooting guard, and small forward. Hasheem Thabeet would provide size, but lacks the polish to provide an interior presence offensively in the near future. Jordan Hill, on the other hand, is a physically mature, rapidly improving big with the ability to establish position in the posts against anyone. Hill is also the draft's second best rebounder (behind Griffin) and would allow Marc Gasol to remain at center.

6) Golden State- Kyle Singler. Singler is a dream power forward for Don Nelson's offense. He can shoot, handle the ball, and battle for boards. He's being overlooked despite playing for the best team in the NCAA because Duke players under Coach K have a shaky history in the NBA, and he's white. But he has an advanced skill set and reminds me of Dirk Nowitzki more than anyone in recent memory (though that comparison is thrown at a lot of top prospects).

7) Minnesota- Hasheem Thabeet. Minnesota has to acquire something in the way of a center prospect, and Thabeet has as much potential as any in recent years outside of Dwight Howard and Greg Oden. Unfortunately, he's even more likely to end up an unequivocal bust. He's not a fluid athlete, his offensive game is coming along but still not resembling that of a legitimate starting NBA big man, and you have to wonder whether his length will matter considering opposing guards will be able to both outmuscle and zip around him. He'll be 22 on draft day and the Timberwolves will have a hard time looking at him and passing on the upper-end of his potential... Dikembe Mutombo.

8) Indiana- Stephen Curry. The Pacers also need to find a low-post talent if they're to progress, but Larry Bird has put an emphasis on improving the team immediately to curb fan disinterest. Wake Forest's Al-Farouq Aminu has the look, but his rap sheet suggests the newly squeaky clean Pacers will look elsewhere. Earl Clark is a tempting option, but in the end they won't be able to pass on the next-Reggie Miller. Few need to be reminded of Curry's credentials. Indiana fans will watch him and be reminded of Reggie as they flock to Conseco next season and beyond and hope his career proves half as memorable. It's tough to peg Curry's NBA potential, but his newfound ballhandling and passing hint that he may be more than just a sharpshooter.

9) Toronto- Tyreke Evans. Evans is not showing up in other mock drafts (many seem to copy off each other), but his shot is coming around, and his stat line is looking more impressive as his freshman season continues. His athleticism, defense, and multi-varied skill set remind one of Gerald Wallace. Toronto is desperate for more punch from the wing, and a prospect to develop into the future. Evans has All Star potential that more will spot as Memphis moves into the national spotlight come Selection Sunday.

10) Chicago- Gerald Henderson. Henderson is strong, supremely athletic (his big frame belies incredible leaping ability), and has more go-to moves than one typical finds in a college player. He's carried Duke since the ACC season began and people are beginning to notice. Griffin and Henderson look most ready to start in the NBA next year, and neither will be in over their heads.

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2009 NBA Mock Draft

I don't have a fetish for international players, I'm not biased by the opinions of agents, and I actually watch basketball. As conference basketball begins, here's an early look at what may transpire in the 2009 NBA Draft.

Without further ado:

1) Oklahoma City- Ricky Rubio. Anyone who saw Rubio play against the Redeem Team knows this is a no-brainer. He picked Chris Paul's pocket clean multiple times, is quick enough to get into the lane at will (despite what many analysts say), is the most creative passer in competitive basketball since Jason Williams' Sacramento days, looks like an anime character, and seemed to possess the same innate basketball vision that all the greats have. Oklahoma City needs a center, but really this pick comes down to Rubio and Blake Griffin. Griffin would add toughness and rebounding, but with Kevin Durant sliding to the frontcourt and becoming more effective this season, Rubio and Russell Westbrook could form one of the NBA's top backcourts in the future and give the Thunder a troika to build around.

2) Minnesota- Blake Griffin. Griffin is an explosive, dominant rebounder who can post-up on the offensive end whenever he feels like it. His back-to-the-basket game lacks polish, but he'll still be able to score with his Lebron-esque athletiscism. He's a good ballhandler and passer for his size and would be tough for Minnesota to pass up despite their desperate need for guards. Perhaps the Timberwolves could trade Kevin Love for some backcourt help or another high draft pick if they end up with the second pick.

3) Washington- Hasheem Thabeet. Thabeet is 7'3", he moves well, he's a uber-productive rebounder and shot blocker, he's a halfway decent free throw shooter which indicates touch on his shot, and his rate of improvement has been tremendous. Project bigs have a shaky track record in the NBA, but he might be good enough already to earn minutes as he'll surely alter shots and makes opposing guards think twice about driving to the hoop from day one in the League. A starting five of Gilbert Arenas, Nick Young, Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison, and Hasheem Thabeet looks nice on paper. That's assuming Arenas is healthy, and Thabeet is giving them 30 minutes a game next season.

4) Sacramento- Jordan Hill- The Kings have an interesting roster in that they have young talent with long-term deals at every position. Beno Udrih and Francisco Garcia just re-upped before the 2008-09 season, and both see major minutes. Unfortunately, both rank in the bottom half of NBA starters at their respective positions. Kevin Martin and John Salmons are the team's leaders, and both are efficient, underrated scorers on the wing, though not quite All Stars. Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson are promising, productive young bigs that the Kings can build around. Their weakest position seems to be point guard, but the guess here is that they take Hill, who is quietly averaging 19 points, 12 rebounds, and almost three blocks at Arizona, to add toughness and replace Brad Miller in their froncourt rotation. Jrue Holliday and Brandon Jennings would also be good selections if they could move Udrih.

5) Los Angeles Clippers- James Harden. The Clippers are a ship wreck. They're ridiculously thin with just six real NBA players (Baron Davis, Eric Gordon, Al Thornton, Chris Kaman, Zach Randolph, and Marcus Camby), and are in the position to take the best player available. Harden is shooting 58% from the field, 46% from three point range, and averages 24 points, six rebounds and four assists. He could be a star in the NBA down the road and will be a top notch scorer off the bench next season. He'd be great value for the fifth pick.

6) Golden State- Damion James. Don Nelson loves big men who can shoot, and James is a career 40% three point shooter. He's a lot like a guy the Warriors just traded away, Al Harrington, but it's hard to envisage BJ Mullens fitting in with Andris Biedrens, and Earl Clark mirrors Brandan Wright too closely. They could use a true point guard, and it wouldn't be a shock to see Nelson choose Holliday or Jennings. But a line-up of Jennings, Monta Ellis, Stephen Jackson, Corey Maggette, and Biedrens would be the smallest in the NBA by far.

7) Memphis- BJ Mullens. The Grizzlies have to look for a big man as they've already got a slew of candidates to play point, shooting guard, and small forward. Mullens isn't NBA ready at all, but no one they select here would push them to the playoffs. Had last season's offer sheet to Josh Smith not been matched, they'd look like having a promising future. As it stands now, their success going forward will hinge on finding a rebounding, low-post threat. Mullens has the talent and size to provide that, but probably not until 2011. Keep an eye on Greg Monroe from Georgetown in the event that Mullens never improves.

8) Indiana- Stephen Curry. The Pacers also need to find a low-post talent if they're to progress, but Larry Bird has put an emphasis on improving the team immediately to curb fan disinterest. Wake Forest's Al-Farouq Aminu has the look, but his rap sheet suggests the newly squeaky clean Pacers will look elsewhere. Earl Clark is a tempting option, but in the end they won't be able to pass on the next-Reggie Miller. Few need to be reminded of Curry's credentials, and Indiana fans will connect the two and flock to Conseco next season and beyond to see him play. It's tough to peg Curry's NBA potential, but his newfound ballhandling and passing hint that he may be more than a sharpshooter.

9) Charlotte- Tyreke Evans. Evans' shot has gone awry thus far this season, but his athleticism, defense, and multi-varied skill set remind one of Gerald Wallace. With an opening on the wing after the trade of Jason Richardson, Evans fills a need in the interim while looking like a future All Star at the same time.

10) New York- Earl Clark. Louisville. Analysts say this about everyone, but Clark would be a perfect fit in Mike D'Antoni's offense. He's a fluid 6'9" athlete that can handle the ball and make passes few his size would dream of attempting. The Knicks could take a point guard if Holliday and Jennings are around, but Duhon is doing a better job than anyone imagined. Clark would help the Knicks immediately and is versatile enough to play the three or four, a valuable trait to keep in mind depending on who the Knicks sign in 2010.

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